STRATUMfiling intelligence๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ Indian private portal

CIK 1159154

REPUBLIC AIRWAYS HOLDINGS INC
CIK 0001159154 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
75.8
composite ยท 5 signals ยท TRIGGERED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

Chat with this filing โ†’

Ask follow-up questions about the latest 10-K, with citations verified against the actual text. No account needed.

Investigation memo โ€” generate one โ†’

Run the bounded investigation agent โ€” reads this company's signals and writes a short, cited summary.

Signals

P-01 ยท FY 2015-12-31 ยท TRIGGERED100.0

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score 0.03 exceeds the -1.78 manipulation threshold
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2016-03-11) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": 0.027,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 3.826,
    "GMI": 1,
    "AQI": 0.853,
    "SGI": 0.977,
    "DEPI": 0.954,
    "SGAI": 1,
    "LVGI": 1.026,
    "TATA": 0
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "GMI",
    "SGAI",
    "TATA"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": null,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 1344000000,
    "revenue_t1": 1375400000,
    "total_assets_t": 3613600000,
    "net_income_t": -27100000,
    "cfo_t": null
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2015-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1159154/000115915416000178/0001159154-16-000178-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2016-03-11"
  }
}
P-07 ยท FY 2015-12-31 ยท TRIGGERED55.3

Pension underfunding

DB plan 73% funded โ€” -$4M deficit (1% of equity)
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2016-03-11) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "benefit_obligation": 12800000,
  "plan_assets": 9300000,
  "funded_ratio": 0.7266,
  "deficit": -3500000,
  "deficit_vs_equity": 0.0058,
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": "<90% funded",
    "triggered": "<80% funded or deficit >25% of equity"
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2015-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1159154/000115915416000178/0001159154-16-000178-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2016-03-11"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2015-12-31 ยท ELEVATED37.5

Zombie / distress

Interest coverage 0.70x below 1.0
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2016-03-11) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2015-12-31": 0.7,
    "2014-12-31": 1.55,
    "2013-12-31": 1.702,
    "2012-12-31": 1.433
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 1,
  "altman_z_double_prime": -3.495,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": 84800000,
    "interest_expense_t": 121200000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2015-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1159154/000115915416000178/0001159154-16-000178-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2016-03-11"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2014-12-31 ยท CLEAN0.0

Tax arbitrage

ETR 24.5% โ€” within normal range of statutory
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2016-03-11) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2014-12-31": 0.2453,
    "2013-12-31": 0.4059
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2014-12-31": -0.0353,
    "2013-12-31": -0.1959
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2015-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1159154/000115915416000178/0001159154-16-000178-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2016-03-11"
  }
}
P-12 ยท FY 2015-12-31 ยท CLEAN4.5

Restatement predictor

F-Score 0.13 โ€” at or below the population base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2016-03-11) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 0.135,
  "probability": 0.0005,
  "components": {
    "rsst": null,
    "drec": 0.016,
    "dinv": -0.0021,
    "soft": 0.12,
    "dcs": -0.0641,
    "droa": -0.026,
    "issue": 0
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2015-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1159154/000115915416000178/0001159154-16-000178-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2016-03-11"
  }
}