CIK 1424879

Moody National REIT I, Inc.

CIK 0001424879 · EDGAR ↗

cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned

83.4

composite · 4 signals · TRIGGERED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from — no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded — never a guess.

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Signals

P-13 · FY 2016-12-31 · TRIGGERED74.4

Zombie / distress

Zombie: interest coverage below 1.0x for 4 consecutive years

trend: flat

Trend

Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2017-03-23) ↗

Evidence — inputs and thresholds

{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2016-12-31": 0.422,
    "2015-12-31": 0.179,
    "2014-12-31": -0.65,
    "2013-12-31": -0.089
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 4,
  "altman_z_double_prime": 0.203,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": 3977095,
    "interest_expense_t": 9418968
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2016-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1424879/000138713117001582/0001387131-17-001582-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2017-03-23"
  }
}

P-05 · FY 2015-12-31 · ELEVATED100.0

Tax arbitrage

ETR -7.6% vs 21% statutory — gap persistent across 1 of 1 years

trend: flat

Trend

Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2017-03-23) ↗

Evidence — inputs and thresholds

{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2015-12-31": -0.0764
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2015-12-31": 0.2864
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2016-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1424879/000138713117001582/0001387131-17-001582-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2017-03-23"
  }
}

P-01 · FY 2016-12-31 · CLEAN33.6

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -2.32 — no manipulation profile

trend: flat

Trend

Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2017-03-23) ↗

Evidence — inputs and thresholds

{
  "m_score": -2.324,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 1,
    "GMI": 1,
    "AQI": 1,
    "SGI": 1.187,
    "DEPI": 1,
    "SGAI": 1,
    "LVGI": 1.035,
    "TATA": 0
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "DSRI",
    "GMI",
    "AQI",
    "DEPI",
    "SGAI",
    "TATA"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": null,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 61930033,
    "revenue_t1": 52167132,
    "total_assets_t": 267249966,
    "net_income_t": -4387450,
    "cfo_t": null
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2016-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1424879/000138713117001582/0001387131-17-001582-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2017-03-23"
  }
}

P-12 · FY 2016-12-31 · CLEAN25.6

Restatement predictor

F-Score 0.77 — at or below the population base rate

trend: flat

Trend

Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2017-03-23) ↗

Evidence — inputs and thresholds

{
  "f_score": 0.767,
  "probability": 0.00284,
  "components": {
    "rsst": null,
    "drec": null,
    "dinv": null,
    "soft": 0.9909,
    "dcs": 0.1871,
    "droa": -0.0406,
    "issue": 0
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2016-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1424879/000138713117001582/0001387131-17-001582-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2017-03-23"
  }
}