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CIK 1530981

Probility Media Corporation
CIK 0001530981 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
92.7
composite ยท 3 signals ยท TRIGGERED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-12 ยท FY 2017-10-31 ยท TRIGGERED100.0

Restatement predictor

F-Score 3.56 โ€” misstatement risk 3.6x the base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2018-04-16) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 3.557,
  "probability": 0.01316,
  "components": {
    "rsst": -1.9149,
    "drec": 0.3387,
    "dinv": 0.1017,
    "soft": 0.9602,
    "dcs": 1.6085,
    "droa": -0.9767,
    "issue": 1
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2017-10-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1530981/000168316818001006/0001683168-18-001006-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2018-04-16"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2017-10-31 ยท TRIGGERED100.0

Zombie / distress

Zombie: interest coverage below 1.0x for 4 consecutive years
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2018-04-16) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2017-10-31": -19.276,
    "2016-10-31": -4.062,
    "2016-05-31": -12.011,
    "2015-10-31": -2.491
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 4,
  "altman_z_double_prime": -19.292,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": -5537783,
    "interest_expense_t": 287287
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2017-10-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1530981/000168316818001006/0001683168-18-001006-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2018-04-16"
  }
}
P-01 ยท FY 2017-10-31 ยท ELEVATED45.6

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -1.90 in the elevated zone
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2018-04-16) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -1.903,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 5.8,
    "GMI": 0.692,
    "AQI": 1.561,
    "SGI": 2.885,
    "DEPI": 0.198,
    "SGAI": 1,
    "LVGI": 0.587,
    "TATA": -1.203
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "SGAI"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": -1.9149,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 8913956,
    "revenue_t1": 3089974,
    "total_assets_t": 4014399,
    "net_income_t": -6134226,
    "cfo_t": -1306465
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2017-10-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1530981/000168316818001006/0001683168-18-001006-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2018-04-16"
  }
}