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CIK 1548621

NPC Restaurant Holdings, LLC
CIK 0001548621 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
76.7
composite ยท 4 signals ยท ELEVATED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-05 ยท FY 2016-12-27 ยท ELEVATED100.0

Tax arbitrage

ETR -45.8% vs 21% statutory โ€” gap persistent across 2 of 2 years
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2017-03-20) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2016-12-27": -0.4582,
    "2015-12-29": -6.1102
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2016-12-27": 0.6682,
    "2015-12-29": 6.3202
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2016-12-27",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1548621/000154862117000009/0001548621-17-000009-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2017-03-20"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2016-12-27 ยท ELEVATED20.0

Zombie / distress

Altman Z'' 0.34 in the distress zone
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2017-03-20) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2016-12-27": 1.134,
    "2015-12-29": 1.023,
    "2014-12-30": 0.835,
    "2013-12-31": 1.902
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 0,
  "altman_z_double_prime": 0.344,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": 50809000,
    "interest_expense_t": 44823000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2016-12-27",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1548621/000154862117000009/0001548621-17-000009-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2017-03-20"
  }
}
P-01 ยท FY 2016-12-27 ยท CLEAN31.2

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -2.41 โ€” no manipulation profile
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2017-03-20) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -2.407,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 1.366,
    "GMI": 1,
    "AQI": 0.994,
    "SGI": 1.011,
    "DEPI": 1.013,
    "SGAI": 1,
    "LVGI": 1,
    "TATA": -0.058
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "GMI",
    "SGAI"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": -0.0584,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 1236568000,
    "revenue_t1": 1223299000,
    "total_assets_t": 1217135000,
    "net_income_t": 8729000,
    "cfo_t": 79596000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2016-12-27",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1548621/000154862117000009/0001548621-17-000009-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2017-03-20"
  }
}
P-12 ยท FY 2016-12-27 ยท CLEAN15.7

Restatement predictor

F-Score 0.47 โ€” at or below the population base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2017-03-20) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 0.471,
  "probability": 0.00174,
  "components": {
    "rsst": -0.0584,
    "drec": 0.0023,
    "dinv": 0,
    "soft": 0.8002,
    "dcs": 0.0086,
    "droa": 0.0016,
    "issue": 0
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2016-12-27",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1548621/000154862117000009/0001548621-17-000009-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2017-03-20"
  }
}