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CIK 1690881

ASV HOLDINGS, INC.
CIK 0001690881 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
85.3
composite ยท 4 signals ยท TRIGGERED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-12 ยท FY 2018-12-31 ยท TRIGGERED62.6

Restatement predictor

F-Score 1.88 โ€” misstatement risk 1.9x the base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K/A on SEC.gov (filed 2019-05-31) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 1.878,
  "probability": 0.00695,
  "components": {
    "rsst": -0.3086,
    "drec": 0.0018,
    "dinv": 0.0726,
    "soft": 0.8555,
    "dcs": 0.0329,
    "droa": -0.3815,
    "issue": 1
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2018-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1690881/000156459019021226/0001564590-19-021226-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K/A",
    "filed": "2019-05-31"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2017-12-31 ยท ELEVATED100.0

Tax arbitrage

ETR -55.2% vs 21% statutory โ€” gap persistent across 1 of 1 years
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K/A on SEC.gov (filed 2019-05-31) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2017-12-31": -0.5522
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2017-12-31": 0.7622
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2018-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1690881/000156459019021226/0001564590-19-021226-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K/A",
    "filed": "2019-05-31"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2018-12-31 ยท ELEVATED90.0

Zombie / distress

Interest coverage -15.16x below 1.0
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K/A on SEC.gov (filed 2019-05-31) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2018-12-31": -15.157,
    "2017-12-31": 1.688,
    "2016-12-31": 1.211
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 1,
  "altman_z_double_prime": -0.732,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": -29495000,
    "interest_expense_t": 1946000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2018-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1690881/000156459019021226/0001564590-19-021226-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K/A",
    "filed": "2019-05-31"
  }
}
P-01 ยท FY 2018-12-31 ยท CLEAN0.0

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -4.38 โ€” no manipulation profile
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K/A on SEC.gov (filed 2019-05-31) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -4.38,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 0.977,
    "GMI": 1.266,
    "AQI": 0.503,
    "SGI": 1.034,
    "DEPI": 0.916,
    "SGAI": 1.034,
    "LVGI": 1.498,
    "TATA": -0.357
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [],
  "sloan_accruals": -0.3086,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 127580000,
    "revenue_t1": 123340000,
    "total_assets_t": 87631000,
    "net_income_t": -32130000,
    "cfo_t": -850000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2018-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1690881/000156459019021226/0001564590-19-021226-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K/A",
    "filed": "2019-05-31"
  }
}