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AGMH

AGM Group Holdings Inc.
CIK 0001705402 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
74.6
composite ยท 4 signals ยท TRIGGERED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-01 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท TRIGGERED88.2

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -0.57 exceeds the -1.78 manipulation threshold
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 20-F on SEC.gov (filed 2026-08-07) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -0.568,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 1.97,
    "GMI": 2.072,
    "AQI": 0.291,
    "SGI": 0.954,
    "DEPI": 1,
    "SGAI": 1,
    "LVGI": 0.112,
    "TATA": 0.105
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "DEPI",
    "SGAI"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": 0.0879,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 30561201,
    "revenue_t1": 32044575,
    "total_assets_t": 44228907,
    "net_income_t": 561630,
    "cfo_t": -4077322
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1705402/000118518526003323/0001185185-26-003323-index.htm",
    "form": "20-F",
    "filed": "2026-08-07"
  }
}
P-12 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท TRIGGERED74.5

Restatement predictor

F-Score 2.24 โ€” misstatement risk 2.2x the base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 20-F on SEC.gov (filed 2026-08-07) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 2.235,
  "probability": 0.00827,
  "components": {
    "rsst": 0.0879,
    "drec": 0.2228,
    "dinv": -0.4052,
    "soft": 0.9926,
    "dcs": -0.4134,
    "droa": -0.0381,
    "issue": 1
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1705402/000118518526003323/0001185185-26-003323-index.htm",
    "form": "20-F",
    "filed": "2026-08-07"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท CLEAN0.0

Tax arbitrage

ETR 83.4% โ€” within normal range of statutory
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 20-F on SEC.gov (filed 2026-08-07) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": 0.8337,
    "2024-12-31": 0.4062,
    "2023-12-31": 0.2639
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": -0.6237,
    "2024-12-31": -0.1962,
    "2023-12-31": -0.0539
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1705402/000118518526003323/0001185185-26-003323-index.htm",
    "form": "20-F",
    "filed": "2026-08-07"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2023-12-31 ยท CLEAN0.0

Zombie / distress

[FY2023 data, stale โ€” no more recent EBIT figure in XBRL] Interest coverage 1038.91x โ€” servicing debt from operations
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 20-F on SEC.gov (filed 2026-08-07) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": null,
    "2024-12-31": null,
    "2023-12-31": 1038.913,
    "2022-12-31": null
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 0,
  "altman_z_double_prime": 2.043,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": 15820560,
    "interest_expense_t": 15228
  },
  "stale": true,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1705402/000118518526003323/0001185185-26-003323-index.htm",
    "form": "20-F",
    "filed": "2026-08-07"
  }
}