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HGYN

HONG YUAN HOLDING GROUP
CIK 0001324759 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
81.1
composite ยท 4 signals ยท TRIGGERED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-01 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท TRIGGERED100.0

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score 0.71 exceeds the -1.78 manipulation threshold
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-05-08) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": 0.707,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 1,
    "GMI": 0.587,
    "AQI": 0.122,
    "SGI": 3.411,
    "DEPI": 1,
    "SGAI": 1,
    "LVGI": 0.579,
    "TATA": 0.314
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "DSRI",
    "DEPI",
    "SGAI"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": 0.4407,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 837753,
    "revenue_t1": 245572,
    "total_assets_t": 611315,
    "net_income_t": 155329,
    "cfo_t": -28440
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1324759/000149315226021954/0001493152-26-021954-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-05-08"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท ELEVATED64.8

Tax arbitrage

ETR 7.3% vs 21% statutory โ€” gap persistent across 1 of 1 years
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-05-08) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": 0.073
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": 0.137
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1324759/000149315226021954/0001493152-26-021954-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-05-08"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2024-12-31 ยท ELEVATED20.0

Zombie / distress

Altman Z'' -1442.35 in the distress zone
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-05-08) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": null,
    "2024-12-31": 5350.056,
    "2023-12-31": 12873,
    "2022-12-31": null
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 0,
  "altman_z_double_prime": -1442.345,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": -96301,
    "interest_expense_t": -18
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1324759/000149315226021954/0001493152-26-021954-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-05-08"
  }
}
P-12 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท CLEAN25.9

Restatement predictor

F-Score 0.78 โ€” at or below the population base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-05-08) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 0.777,
  "probability": 0.00287,
  "components": {
    "rsst": 0.4407,
    "drec": null,
    "dinv": 0.0084,
    "soft": 0.9723,
    "dcs": 2.4114,
    "droa": 0.698,
    "issue": 0
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1324759/000149315226021954/0001493152-26-021954-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-05-08"
  }
}