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MGSD

MAITONG SUNSHINE CULTURAL DEVELOPMENT CO., LIMITED
CIK 0002003750 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
78.4
composite ยท 4 signals ยท TRIGGERED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-01 ยท FY 2025-09-30 ยท TRIGGERED100.0

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score 13.29 exceeds the -1.78 manipulation threshold
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-01-09) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": 13.288,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 1,
    "GMI": 1.104,
    "AQI": 20.868,
    "SGI": 1.715,
    "DEPI": 1,
    "SGAI": 0.722,
    "LVGI": 0.887,
    "TATA": 1.488
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "DSRI",
    "DEPI"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": 1.097,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 1380218,
    "revenue_t1": 804887,
    "total_assets_t": 439110,
    "net_income_t": -21229,
    "cfo_t": -674758
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-09-30",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2003750/000121390026002691/0001213900-26-002691-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-01-09"
  }
}
P-12 ยท FY 2025-09-30 ยท TRIGGERED63.7

Restatement predictor

F-Score 1.91 โ€” misstatement risk 1.9x the base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-01-09) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 1.911,
  "probability": 0.00707,
  "components": {
    "rsst": 1.097,
    "drec": null,
    "dinv": 0.0003,
    "soft": 0.9863,
    "dcs": 0.7148,
    "droa": -0.0074,
    "issue": 0
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-09-30",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2003750/000121390026002691/0001213900-26-002691-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-01-09"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2025-09-30 ยท ELEVATED20.0

Zombie / distress

Altman Z'' 0.30 in the distress zone
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-01-09) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2025-09-30": 176.045,
    "2024-09-30": -29.926
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 0,
  "altman_z_double_prime": 0.303,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": 86790,
    "interest_expense_t": 493
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-09-30",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2003750/000121390026002691/0001213900-26-002691-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-01-09"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2025-09-30 ยท CLEAN0.0

Tax arbitrage

ETR 124.5% โ€” within normal range of statutory
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-01-09) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2025-09-30": 1.2447
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2025-09-30": -1.0347
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-09-30",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2003750/000121390026002691/0001213900-26-002691-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-01-09"
  }
}