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SPH

SUBURBAN PROPANE PARTNERS LP
CIK 0001005210 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
75.9
composite ยท 4 signals ยท TRIGGERED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-05 ยท FY 2025-09-27 ยท TRIGGERED100.0

Tax arbitrage

ETR 1.2% vs 21% statutory โ€” gap persistent across 3 of 3 years
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2025-11-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2025-09-27": 0.0125,
    "2024-09-28": 0.0098,
    "2023-09-30": 0.0054
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2025-09-27": 0.1975,
    "2024-09-28": 0.2002,
    "2023-09-30": 0.2046
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-09-27",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1005210/000119312525298630/0001193125-25-298630-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2025-11-26"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2025-09-27 ยท ELEVATED20.0

Zombie / distress

Altman Z'' 0.21 in the distress zone
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2025-11-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2025-09-27": 2.705,
    "2024-09-28": 2.296,
    "2023-09-30": 2.818,
    "2022-09-24": 3.401
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 0,
  "altman_z_double_prime": 0.214,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": 206311000,
    "interest_expense_t": 76265000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-09-27",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1005210/000119312525298630/0001193125-25-298630-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2025-11-26"
  }
}
P-01 ยท FY 2025-09-27 ยท CLEAN25.5

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -2.61 โ€” no manipulation profile
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2025-11-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -2.609,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 0.969,
    "GMI": 1,
    "AQI": 0.975,
    "SGI": 1.079,
    "DEPI": 0.984,
    "SGAI": 1,
    "LVGI": 0.989,
    "TATA": -0.035
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "SGAI"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": -0.0349,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 1432518000,
    "revenue_t1": 1327172000,
    "total_assets_t": 2296274000,
    "net_income_t": 106570000,
    "cfo_t": 186256000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-09-27",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1005210/000119312525298630/0001193125-25-298630-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2025-11-26"
  }
}
P-12 ยท FY 2025-09-27 ยท CLEAN13.2

Restatement predictor

F-Score 0.40 โ€” at or below the population base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2025-11-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 0.396,
  "probability": 0.00146,
  "components": {
    "rsst": -0.0349,
    "drec": 0.0013,
    "dinv": 0.008,
    "soft": 0.6988,
    "dcs": 0.0771,
    "droa": 0.0138,
    "issue": 0
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-09-27",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1005210/000119312525298630/0001193125-25-298630-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2025-11-26"
  }
}